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Until the middle of 2008, Latvia had the fastest
developing economy in Europe. In 2003, GDP growth was 7.5%
and inflation was 2.9%. Unemployment was 9% in 2003 - 2005;
however, in 2009 it rose to 23% and is the highest in the
European Union.[8] Privatization is mostly complete, except
for some of the large state-owned utilities. On May 1, 2004,
Latvia joined the European Union.
The Financial Crisis of 2008 is still affecting the Latvian
economy, primarily as a result of the easy credit bubble
that began building up during 2004. The bubble burst lead to
a rapidly weakening economy, resulting in a budget, wage and
unemployment crisis. [9] Latvia had the worst economic
performance in 2009, with annual growth rate averaging -18%.
For centuries under Hanseatic and German influence and then
during its inter-war independence, Latvia used its
geographic location as an important East-West commercial and
trading center. Industry served local markets, while timber,
paper and agricultural products were Latvia's main exports.
Conversely, the years of Russian and Soviet occupation
tended to integrate Latvia's economy to serve those empires'
large internal industrial needs.
After reestablishing its independence, Latvia proceeded with
market-oriented reforms, albeit at a measured pace. Its
freely traded currency, the lat, was introduced in 1993 and
held steady, or appreciated, against major world currencies.
Inflation was reduced from 958.6% in 1992 to 25% by 1995 and
1.4% by 2002. However by 2007, inflation was 16% – the
highest inflation rate in the European Union.
After contracting substantially between 1991–93, the economy
steadied in late 1994, led by recovery in light industry and
a boom in commerce and finance. This recovery was
interrupted twice, first by a banking crisis and the
bankruptcy of Banka Baltija, Latvia's largest bank, in 1995
and second by a severe crisis in the financial system of
neighbouring Russia in 1998. After 2000, Latvian GDP grew by
6–8% a year for 4 consecutive years. Latvia's state budget
was balanced in 1997 but the 1998 Russian financial crisis
resulted in large deficits, which were reduced from 4% of
GDP in 1999 to 1.8% in 2003. These deficits were smaller
than in most of the other countries joining the European
Union in 2004.[citation needed]
The centrally planned system of the Soviet period was
replaced with a structure based on free-market principles.
Two-thirds of employment and 60% of GDP is now in the
private sector.[citation needed] Recovery in light industry
and Riga's emergence as a regional financial and commercial
center offset shrinkage of the state-owned industrial sector
and agriculture. The official unemployment figure held
steady in the 7%-10% range.
Privatisation in Latvia is almost complete. Virtually all of
the previously state-owned small and medium companies have
been privatized, leaving only a small number of politically
sensitive large state companies. In particular, the
country's main energy company, Latvenergo remains state-owned
and there are no plans to privatize it. The government also
holds minority shares in Ventspils Nafta oil transit company
and the country's main telecom company Lattelecom but it
plans to sell those.
Foreign investment in Latvia is still modest compared with
the levels in north-central Europe. A law expanding the
scope for selling land, including land sales to foreigners,
was passed in 1997. Representing 10.2% of Latvia's total
foreign direct investment, American companies invested $127
million in 1999. In the same year, the United States
exported $58.2 million of goods and services to Latvia and
imported $87.9 million. Eager to join Western economic
institutions like the World Trade Organization, OECD, and
the European Union, Latvia signed a Europe Agreement with
the EU in 1995 with a 4-year transition period. Latvia and
the United States have signed treaties on investment, trade,
and intellectual property protection and avoidance of double
taxation.
With Lithuania, Poland, and Estonia, Latvia is considering
participating in the Visaginas Nuclear Power Plant in
Lithuania to replace the Ignalina Nuclear Power Plant.[10]
Latvia faces a potential energy famine because in 2009
Lithuania will shut down Ignalina. Without any other policy,
Latvia will have to rely more heavily on Russian gas and
other sources of electricity.
The Latvian economy entered a phase of fiscal contraction
during the second half of 2008 after an extended period of
credit-based speculation and unrealistic inflation of real
estate values. The national account deficit for 2007, for
example, represented more than 22% of the GDP for the year
while inflation was running at 10%.[11]
By August 2009, Latvia's GDP had fallen by 20% year on year,
with S&P predicting a further 16% contraction to come. The
International Monetary Fund suggested a devaluation of
Latvia's currency, but the European Union objected to this,
on the grounds that the majority of Latvia's debt was
denominated in foreign currencies.[12] Financial economist
Michael Hudson has advocated for redominating foreign
currency liabilities in Latvian lats before devaluing, with
possible some loss sharing with foreign creditors.
Paul Krugman, the Nobel Laureate in economics for 2008,
wrote in his New York Times Op-Ed column for December 15,
2008:
"The most acute problems are on Europe’s periphery, where
many smaller economies are experiencing crises strongly
reminiscent of past crises in Latin America and Asia: Latvia
is the new Argentina
Statistics
Household income or consumption by percentage share:
lowest 10%: 2.9%
highest 10%: 25.9% (1998)
Industries: synthetic fibers, agricultural machinery,
fertilizers, radios, electronics, pharmaceuticals, processed
foods, textiles, timber; note – dependent on imports for
energy and raw materials
Industrial production growth rate: 8.5% (2004 est.)
Electricity – production: 4,547 GWh (2002)
Electricity – production by source:
fossil fuel: 29.1%
hydro: 70.9%
nuclear: 0%
other: 0% (2001)
Electricity – consumption: 5,829 GWh (2002)
Electricity – exports: 1,100 GWh (2002)
Electricity – imports: 2,700 GWh (2002)
Agriculture – products: grain, potatoes, vegetables; beef,
milk, eggs; fish
Foreign direct investments in Latvia: Lursoft statistics on
remaining amount of investments at the end of each year. [1]
Exchange rates: lati per US dollar – 0.44 (2008) 0.5402
(2004), 0.57 (2003), 0.62 (2002), 0.63 (2001), 0.61 (2000),
0.59 (1999), 0.590 (1998), 0.581 (1997), 0.551 (1996), 0.528
(1995)
Packet of 20 cigarettes: 0.70 – 2.00 LVL. Most Western
brands (Marlboro, etc.) are about 1.50 LVL.
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